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跨国溢价的起源

On the Origins of the Multinational Premium
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · José L. Fillat、Stefania Garetto

中文摘要

我们研究管理、跨国扩张与风险溢价之间的关系。我们记录了两个事实:由更优秀的管理者经营的企业更有可能成为跨国企业(MNEs),且当前和未来的跨国企业的风险溢价高于始终完全在国内经营的企业。我们构建了一个模型,其中异质性企业与管理者之间的内生匹配共同决定了对外直接投资(FDI)的进入选择和风险溢价。在定量分析中,我们利用该模型考察企业税收和管理人才市场扭曲如何影响跨国活动、企业风险敞口以及金融市场结果。

Abstract

We study the relationship between management, multinational expansion, and risk premia. We document two facts: firms run by better managers are more likely to become multinationals (MNEs), and risk premia are higher for current and future MNEs than for firms that remain exclusively domestic. We develop a model in which endogenous matching between heterogeneous firms and managers jointly determines selection into foreign direct investment (FDI) and risk premia. Quantitatively, we use the model to examine how corporate taxation and distortions in the market for managerial talent affect multinational activity, firm risk exposure, and financial market outcomes.
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