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各州禁止平权行动后承包商的命运如何

What Happens to Contractors After States Ban Affirmative Action?
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · [{"name": "Benjamin Rosa", "affiliation": []}]

中文摘要

利用受限的普查企业记录,我考察了禁止州政府合同中实行平权行动如何影响少数族裔和女性拥有的企业(MWBEs)。我发现,终止平权行动导致 MWBE 承包商逐渐缩减规模,其中黑人拥有的企业和规模较大的 MWBEs 经历了最显著的裁员。尽管出现了这些用工变化,现有 MWBEs 并不比其他企业更有可能倒闭。州禁令实施后,新设立的 MWBEs 相对更少,这凸显了禁令如何改变新承包商的人口构成。一个校准模型表明,禁令相当于 MWBE 生产率和残值的相当大幅下降。

Abstract

Using restricted Census business records, I explore how banning affirmative action in state contracting affects minority- and women-owned business enterprises (MWBEs). I find that ending affirmative action led MWBE contractors to gradually downsize, with the most pronounced reductions in force experienced by Black-owned businesses and larger MWBEs. Despite these workforce changes, existing MWBEs were no more likely to shut down than other businesses. New MWBEs were relatively less common after a state's ban, highlighting how bans can shift the demographic composition of new contractors. A calibrated model suggests bans are equivalent to considerable reductions in MWBE productivity and scrap values.
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