中文摘要
美国、中国等大国利用其经济体与世界其他地区既有的贸易和金融联系来施加地缘经济权力。目标实体既包括外国政府,也包括外国私营企业。我们刻画了在给定目标外国中,霸权国在何种条件下最优地以私营实体或其政府为对象实施胁迫。胁迫私营实体的一个优势在于:与其本国政府相比,私营实体较少将屈从于霸权国胁迫所产生的均衡后果内部化。这使霸权国能够通过利用如下差异来构建自身权力——即其所要求的高成本行动给目标实体造成的私人成本,与这些行动对霸权国的社会价值之间的差异。胁迫政府会放弃这一优势的一部分,但也带来了另一种能力:目标政府可能影响其国内经济中那些霸权国认为值得胁迫、但自身直接胁迫能力有限的企业。这两个渠道的相对强弱,决定了针对私营实体与政府的最优胁迫组合。
Abstract
Great powers, like the United States and China, use existing trade and financial linkages of their economies to the rest of the world to exert geoeconomic power. The targeted entities include both foreign governments and foreign private firms. We characterize conditions under which a hegemonic country optimally targets private entities or their government in a given targeted foreign country. An advantage of coercing private entities is that they internalize less than their own government the equilibrium consequences of acquiescing to the hegemon's coercion. This allows the hegemon to build its power by exploiting the difference between the private cost to the targeted entity of the costly actions it demands and the social value to the hegemon of those actions. Coercing the government gives up some of this advantage, but offers the ability of having the targeted government potentially influence firms in its domestic economy that the hegemon finds valuable to coerce but for which it had limited direct coercive power. The relative strength of these two channels determines the optimal mix of coercion targeted at private entities and governments.