← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

供水工程:美国安全饮用水的原因与后果

Water Works: Causes and Consequences of Safe Drinking Water in America
NBER Working Papers · 2026 · [{"name": "David A. Keiser", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "Bhashkar Mazumder", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "David Molitor", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "Joseph S. Shapiro", "affiliation": []}]

中文摘要

自1974年《安全饮用水法》(Safe Drinking Water Act) 颁布以来,美国已投入2万亿美元用于提供安全饮用水,然而仍有10%至20%的美国人的饮用水不符合标准。本文利用我们通过数十项《信息自由法》(Freedom of Information Act) 及相关申请从48个州获得的、跨越数十年的关于1250种污染物的2.66亿条读数,研究美国饮用水污染的趋势、成因与后果,并将污染数据与美国老年人健康结果的医保(Medicare)行政数据相连接。研究得出三项发现。第一,美国饮用水污染迅速下降:超过现行健康标准的读数占比在2003年至2019年间下降了一半;未受监管的污染物下降速度较慢;低收入地区污染程度更高,黑人和西班牙裔社区则呈现更为复杂的模式。第二,《安全饮用水法》向供水系统提供的贷款降低了污染水平:按估计的平均贷款成本效益计算,人均每年花费46美元的贷款即可消除超过健康标准的污染。第三,这些贷款降低了美国老年人的死亡率。尽管财政联邦主义理论警示,不应以联邦资金资助像饮用水这样几乎不存在跨辖区外部性的地方公共品,但我们估计《安全饮用水法》贷款带来的收益十分可观。

Abstract

Since the 1974 Safe Drinking Water Act, the U.S. has spent $2 trillion to provide safe drinking water, yet drinking water for 10–20 percent of Americans violates standards. We study trends, causes, and consequences of U.S. drinking water pollution, using 266 million readings on 1,250 pollutants over decades that we obtained from 48 states via dozens of Freedom of Information Act and associated requests. We link pollution to administrative Medicare data on older Americans' health outcomes. Three findings emerge. First, U.S. drinking water pollution has declined rapidly; the share of readings exceeding current health standards fell by half from 2003–2019. Unregulated pollutants declined more slowly. Low-income areas have higher pollution; Black and Hispanic communities have more complex patterns. Second, loans provided by the Safe Drinking Water Act to water systems reduce pollution. At the estimated average loan cost-effectiveness, these loans could eliminate pollution above health standards for $46 annually per person. Third, these loans reduce mortality rates of older Americans. Although fiscal federalism cautions against federal funding of local public goods with few inter-jurisdictional externalities like drinking water, we estimate large benefits from Safe Drinking Water Act loans.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →