← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

微型公众中的地方性证据与多样性

Local Evidence and Diversity in Minipublics
Journal of Political Economy · 2023 · Arjada Bardhi、Nina Bobkova

中文摘要

政策制定者选定一个微型公众——一组从人口特征多元的公民群体中选出的公民,他们能够获取关于某项政策影响的地方性证据。公民面临关于政策制定者最终政策偏向的不确定性,本文证明这种不确定性会阻碍微型公众中边际信息量最高的公民发掘其证据。我们完整刻画了最优微型公众的构成。相对于人口特征上最具代表性的微型公众而言,最优微型公众过度代表了处于公民群体边缘的人口特征,而对中位数公民附近的人口特征代表不足。最优微型公众的代表性随不确定性呈非单调变化。我们的发现对微型公众的设计具有实践启示。

Abstract

A policymaker selects a minipublic—a group of citizens from a demographically diverse citizenry with access to local evidence about the impact of a policy. Citizens face uncertainty about the policymaker’s eventual policy bias, which is shown to discourage the most marginally informative minipublic citizens from discovering their evidence. We fully characterize the optimal minipublic composition. Relative to the most demographically representative minipublic, the optimal minipublic overrepresents demographics at the margins of the citizenry while underrepresenting those around the median citizen. The representativeness of the optimal minipublic varies nonmonotonically with uncertainty. Our findings bear practical implications for minipublic design.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →