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贸易、技术与农业生产率

Trade, Technology, and Agricultural Productivity
Journal of Political Economy · 2023 · Farid Farrokhi、Heitor S. Pellegrina

中文摘要

本文考察贸易对现代农业兴起的贡献,同时考虑贸易、投入品要求与技术采纳之间的相互作用。我们构建并估计了一个新的多国一般均衡模型,该模型在覆盖地球表面的网格单元层面上纳入了生产者关于生产何种作物以及采用何种技术的选择。我们发现,自20世纪80年代以来,农业投入品贸易成本的下降以及农业投入部门生产率增长的国际传导,引发了从传统的劳动密集型技术向现代的投入密集型技术的大规模转变,并对生产率和福利产生了重要的全球性与分配性影响。

Abstract

We examine the contribution of trade to the rise of modern agriculture, taking into account interactions between trade, input requirements, and technology adoption. We develop and estimate a new multicountry general equilibrium model that incorporates producers’ choices of which crops to produce and with which technologies at the level of grid cells covering the earth’s surface. We find that trade cost reductions in agricultural inputs and the international transmission of productivity growth in the agricultural input sector since the 1980s induced large shifts from traditional, labor-intensive technologies to modern, input-intensive ones, with important global and distributional implications for productivity and welfare.
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