← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

地方保护主义、市场结构与社会福利:中国汽车市场

Local Protectionism, Market Structure, and Social Welfare: China’s Automobile Market
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2021 · Panle Jia、Shengmao Cao、Shanjun Li

中文摘要

本研究在中国汽车市场的背景下记录了地方保护主义的存在,并量化其对市场竞争和社会福利的影响。中国汽车市场的一个显著特征是,合资企业与国有企业生产的车型在其总部所在省份的市场份额远高于全国水平。通过县界分析、证伪检验和消费者调查,我们发现补贴本地品牌等保护主义政策是所观察到的本土偏好的主要成因。随后,我们构建并估计了一个市场均衡模型,在控制其他需求和供给因素的情况下量化地方保护的影响。反事实分析表明,地方保护导致显著的消费者选择扭曲,并造成219亿元的消费者福利损失,相当于补贴总额的41%。省级政府面临囚徒困境:地方保护降低了总体社会福利,但省级政府没有激励单方面取消地方保护。

Abstract

This study documents the presence of local protectionism and quantifies its impacts on market competition and social welfare in the context of China’s automobile market. A salient feature of China’s auto market is that vehicle models by joint ventures and state-owned enterprises command much higher market shares in their headquarter provinces than at the national level. Through county border analysis, falsification tests, and a consumer survey, we uncover protectionist policies such as subsidies to local brands as the primary contributing factor to the observed home bias. We then set up and estimate a market equilibrium model to quantify the impact of local protection, controlling for other demand and supply factors. Counterfactual analysis shows that local protection leads to significant consumer choice distortions and results in 21.9 billion yuan of consumer welfare loss, amounting to 41 percent of total subsidy. Provincial governments face a prisoner’s dilemma: local protection reduces aggregate social welfare, but provincial governments have no incentive to unilaterally remove local protection.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →