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个性化定价与时间的价值:来自拍卖出租车出行的证据

Personalized Pricing and the Value of Time: Evidence From Auctioned Cab Rides
Econometrica · 2025 · Nicholas Buchholz、Laura Doval、Jakub Kastl、Filip Matějka、Tobias Salz

中文摘要

我们利用一个大型网约车平台的详细数据恢复时间估值,该平台上司机对行程进行竞标,消费者则在一组价格和等待时间各异的行程中进行选择。借助消费者面板数据,我们将需求估计为价格和等待时间的函数,并利用所得估计恢复消费者间时间价值的异质性。我们研究个性化定价的福利含义及其对平台、司机和消费者的影响。在考虑司机对平台定价政策的最优反应后,个性化定价使消费者剩余降低2.5%,总剩余增加5.2%。与平台一样,司机也受益于个性化定价。通过基于司机的等待时间而非消费者数据来设定价格,平台可以获取个性化定价所带来利润的相当一部分,同时使消费者受益。

Abstract

We recover valuations of time using detailed data from a large ride‐hail platform, where drivers bid on trips and consumers choose between a set of rides with different prices and wait times. Leveraging a consumer panel, we estimate demand as a function of both prices and wait times and use the resulting estimates to recover heterogeneity in the value of time across consumers. We study the welfare implications of personalized pricing and its effect on the platform, drivers, and consumers. Taking into account drivers' optimal reaction to the platform's pricing policy, personalized pricing lowers consumer surplus by 2.5% and increases overall surplus by 5.2%. Like the platform, drivers benefit from personalized pricing. By conditioning prices on drivers' wait times and not on consumers' data, the platform can capture a significant portion of the profits garnered from personalized pricing, and simultaneously benefit consumers.
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