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社会养老金的力量:来自中国新型农村社会养老保险的证据

The Power of Social Pensions: Evidence from China's New Rural Pension Scheme
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2021 · Wei Huang、Chuanchuan Zhang

中文摘要

本文利用中国新型农村社会养老保险(NRPS)逐县推开的政策变动,发现对于符合年龄条件的人群,该养老金计划提高了家庭收入和食品支出,减少了农活,改善了健康状况,并降低了死亡率。此外,新农保促使不符合年龄条件的成年人从农活转向非农工作,但对其收入、支出或健康没有显著影响。没有显著证据表明新农保影响私人转移支付或健康行为。这些发现为当今发展中国家和过去发达国家社会养老金对个体行为与福利的影响提供了相关证据。

Abstract

This paper utilizes the county-by-county rollout of China's New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS) and finds that, among age-eligible people, the pension scheme leads to higher household income and food expenditure, less farmwork, better health, and lower mortality. In addition, the NRPS shifts age-ineligible adults from farmwork to nonfarmwork but does not significantly affect their income, expenditure, or health. No significant evidence shows that the NRPS affects private transfers or health behaviors. These findings provide relevant evidence of the impacts of social pensions on individual behaviors and welfare for developing countries today and developed countries in the past.
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