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援助、中国与增长:来自全球发展融资新数据集的证据

Aid, China, and Growth: Evidence from a New Global Development Finance Dataset
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2021 · Axel Dreher、Andreas Fuchs、Bradley Parks、Austin Strange、Michael J. Tierney

中文摘要

本文介绍了一个新数据集,记录了2000年至2014年间中国向138个发展中国家提供的官方融资。文章考察中国发展融资是否影响受援国的经济增长。结果表明,中国发展融资促进了短期经济增长。平均而言,每新增一个项目,可使项目承诺两年后的经济增长率提高0.41至1.49个百分点。本研究虽未发现来自中国的重大资金支持会损害西方援助方援助的整体效果,但美国援助在未获得中国实质性支持的国家往往更为有效。

Abstract

This article introduces a new dataset of official financing from China to 138 developing countries between 2000 and 2014. It investigates whether Chinese development finance affects economic growth in recipient countries. The results demonstrate that Chinese development finance boosts short-term economic growth. An additional project increases growth by between 0.41 and 1.49 percentage points 2 years after commitment, on average. While this study does not find that significant financial support from China impairs the overall effectiveness of aid from Western donors, aid from the United States tends to be more effective in countries that receive no substantial support from China.
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