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更年长却更公平:延长的生育时间跨度如何重塑以色列的婚姻模式

Older Yet Fairer: How Extended Reproductive Time Horizons Reshaped Marriage Patterns in Israel
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2021 · Naomi Gershoni、Corinne Low

中文摘要

以色列于1994年实行免费体外受精(IVF),这为研究生育时间跨度如何影响女性结婚时点及其他结果提供了自然实验。我们以男性和阿拉伯裔以色列女性作为对照组,发现政策变化后女性平均初婚年龄显著上升。这一变化似乎既源于更多年长女性结婚,也源于年轻女性推迟结婚。初次生育年龄也有所上升。安慰剂检验和稳健性检验有助于将IVF确定为这一变化的来源。我们的发现表明,受年龄限制的生育能力对女性相对于男性的生命时序与结果具有实质性影响。

Abstract

Israel’s 1994 adoption of free in vitro fertilization (IVF) provides a natural experiment for how fertility time horizons impact women’s marriage timing and other outcomes. We find a substantial increase in average age at first marriage following the policy change, using both men and Arab-Israeli women as comparison groups. This shift appears to be driven by both increased marriages by older women and younger women delaying marriage. Age at first birth also increased. Placebo and robustness checks help pinpoint IVF as the source of the change. Our findings suggest age-limited fertility materially impacts women’s life timing and outcomes relative to men.
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