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缺失的市场:来自按量计价的农业地下水需求证据

Missing markets: Evidence on agricultural groundwater demand from volumetric pricing
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · Ellen M. Bruno、Katrina Jessoe

中文摘要

基于市场的工具是管理稀缺水资源广受推崇却鲜少实施的手段。我们利用一个实行按量计价、并拥有覆盖17年的月度井级取水数据的水区,估计了农业地下水需求的价格弹性。需求缺乏弹性,估计值介于−0.16至−0.2之间。我们运用该参数计算引入农业水价所带来的剩余变化,以及在城市与农业用水者之间进行水权转让的预期收益,并分别考虑有无供水削减的情形。相对于对所有用水者统一实施的节水指令,水权交易可以大幅缓解水资源稀缺的成本。

Abstract

Market-based instruments pose widely prescribed but rarely implemented tools to manage scarce water resources. We estimate the price elasticity of demand for agricultural groundwater in a water district with volumetric pricing and monthly well-level extraction data spanning 17 years. Demand is inelastic, with estimates ranging from −0.16 to −0.2. We apply this parameter to calculate the surplus change from the introduction of agricultural water pricing, and the prospective gains from water transfers between urban and agricultural users, with and without water supply curtailments. Relative to a water conservation mandate applied uniformly to all users, trading can substantially mitigate the costs of water scarcity.
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