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赌博、储蓄与大额流动性需求

Gambling, Saving, and Lumpy Liquidity Needs
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2021 · Sylvan Herskowitz

中文摘要

本文提供的证据表明,在存在金融约束的情况下,围绕不可分割的“大额”支出产生的未满足流动性需求,会提高对博彩的需求——博彩是在此情形下创造流动性的次优方法。基于乌干达坎帕拉1,708名体育博彩者的样本,我表明参与者的目标赔付金额与预期支出相关联,而赢得的奖金会不成比例地增加大额支出。我进一步表明,一项随机化的储蓄干预降低了博彩需求。此外,我利用两个“实验室-田野”实验表明,未满足的流动性需求与储蓄能力是重要的机制。这些结果无法用“博彩是一种纯粹的正常商品”来解释。

Abstract

I present evidence that unmet liquidity needs for indivisible, “lumpy,” expenditures increase demand for betting as a second-best method of liquidity generation in the presence of financial constraints. With a sample of 1,708 sports bettors in Kampala, Uganda, I show that participants’ targeted payouts are linked to anticipated expenditures, while winnings increase lumpy expenditures disproportionately. I show that a randomized savings treatment decreases demand for betting. And I use two lab-in-the-field experiments to show that unmet liquidity needs and saving ability are important mechanisms. These results cannot be explained by betting as a purely normal good.
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