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一个简单的动态气候合作模型

A simple dynamic climate cooperation model
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · Eugen Kováč、Robert C. Schmidt

中文摘要

我们引入了一个分析联盟形成的新框架,并将其应用于气候合作。我们的模型允许多轮谈判,并且能够解释大型联盟的形成。每个联盟成员加入并随后签署长期合同的激励,在于防止单个国家一旦偏离就会出现低效率的拖延。这削弱了在静态联盟形成博弈中破坏大型联盟稳定性的搭便车激励。均衡联盟规模随之由“阈值效应”决定:当联盟规模足够大时,联盟成员的偏离便无利可图。

Abstract

We introduce a novel framework for analyzing coalition formation, applied to climate cooperation. Our model allows for multiple rounds of negotiations and is able to explain the formation of large coalitions. The incentive of each coalition member to join and subsequently to sign a long-term contract is to prevent inefficient delay that arises as soon as a single country deviates. This undermines the free-rider incentive that destabilizes large coalitions in static coalition formation games. The equilibrium coalition size is then determined by a “threshold effect” due to which deviations of coalition members become unprofitable for sufficiently large coalitions.
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