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政治层级与区域经济发展:来自中国空间断点的证据

Political hierarchy and regional economic development: Evidence from a spatial discontinuity in China
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · Junxue Jia、Xuan Liang、Guangrong Ma

中文摘要

本研究利用重庆升格为省级行政区的证据,考察政治层级对区域经济发展的影响。1997年,地级重庆市升格为省级直辖市,从四川省分出,并由此在行政、人事和财政事务上获得了大幅增加的决策权。重庆与四川的边界地区在处理前具有相似特征,使我们能够采用空间断点回归方法。通过考察1992—2013年乡镇层面灯光亮度的增长,我们发现重庆乡镇的经济活动在处理前与四川乡镇平行,但在重庆升格后经济活动立即急剧增加,意味着年均GDP增长率提高了1.8个百分点。此外,我们发现重庆政府官员具有更高的问责性,并比四川官员实施了更多促增长政策。这些结果为通过提高政治层级赋予地方政府更大权力以促进区域发展提供了新证据。

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of political hierarchy on regional economic development using evidence from Chongqing’s promotion to the level of a province in China. In 1997, the prefecture-level Chongqing city was elevated to a province-level municipality, splitting off from Sichuan province, and it consequently gained a substantial increase in decision-making power for administrative, personnel, and fiscal affairs. The border areas between Chongqing and Sichuan had similar characteristics prior to treatment, allowing us to adopt a spatial regression discontinuity approach. Examining growth in town-level light intensity from 1992–2013, we find that economic activities of Chongqing towns are parallel with Sichuan towns before treatment, but activities increase sharply immediately following Chongqing’s promotion, implying an increase of 1.8 percentage-points in the annual GDP growth rate. Furthermore, we find that government officials of Chongqing have higher accountability and enact more pro-growth policies than officials of Sichuan. The results provide new evidence that empowering local governments through increased political hierarchy promotes regional development.
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