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给付期限、求职行为与再就业

Benefit duration, job search behavior and re-employment
Journal of Public Economics · 2021 · Andreas Lichter、Amelie Schiprowski

中文摘要

本文研究失业保险金的潜在给付期限如何影响早期求职行为和再就业结果。我们利用2008年德国失业保险(UI)制度的一次意外改革,该改革将50至54岁给付领取者的潜在给付期限从12个月延长至15个月。基于详细的调查数据和双重差分设计,我们估计潜在给付期限每增加一个月,早期求职申请约减少10%。利用社会保障数据,我们进一步发现,给付期限的延长增加了改革后进入失业保险的个体的平均非就业持续时间。对于在失业期较后阶段受到处理的个体而言,失业保险覆盖的扩大似乎并未以更长的非就业时间为代价。一项审慎的粗略估算表明,早期求职努力可带来可观的就业回报。

Abstract

This paper studies how the potential duration of unemployment benefits affects early job search behavior and re-employment outcomes. We exploit an unexpected reform of the German unemployment insurance (UI) scheme in 2008, which increased the potential benefit duration from 12 to 15 months for benefit recipients of age 50 to 54. Based on detailed survey data and a difference-in-differences design, we estimate that one additional month of potential benefits reduces early job applications by around 10%. Using social security data, we further find that the extension of benefits increases the average nonemployment duration of individuals entering UI after the reform. Among individuals who got treated at later stages of their unemployment spell, the increased UI coverage does not appear to come at the cost of longer nonemployment. A cautious back-of-the-envelope calculation reveals substantial job finding returns to early search effort.
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