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收购、创新与垄断地位的固化

Acquisitions, Innovation and the Entrenchment of Monopoly
The RAND Journal of Economics · 2025 · Vincenzo Denicolò、Michele Polo

中文摘要

我们构建一个重复创新的动态模型,其中发明者既可能被在位企业收购,也可能拒绝被接管并向其领导地位发起挑战。短期内,由于“为买断而发明”效应,收购总是会促进创新。然而从长期看,收购可能因一种抵消性效应——垄断地位的固化——而抑制创新。当在位企业的支配地位取决于其过去的活跃程度、并因此被反复进行的收购所强化时,这种固化便会发生。我们表明,若固化效应足够强,具有前瞻性的政策制定者应基于对创新长期负面影响的预期而禁止收购。这一论证提出了一种新的损害理论,可用于阻止那些原本可能不受质疑的收购。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We analyze a dynamic model of repeated innovation where inventors may either be acquired by an incumbent or else resist takeover and challenge for leadership. In the short run, acquisitions always spur innovation because of the invention‐for‐buyout effect. In the longer run, however, they may stifle it because of a countervailing effect, the entrenchment of monopoly. The latter occurs when the incumbent's dominance depends on past levels of activity and is therefore reinforced by recurrent acquisitions. We show that if the entrenchment effect is sufficiently strong, forward‐looking policymakers should prohibit acquisitions in anticipation of the long‐run negative impact on innovation. This argument sets out a new theory of harm that can be used to block acquisitions that could otherwise go unchallenged.
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