Journal of Political Economy · 2021 · Robert Paul Hartley、Carlos Lamarche、James P. Ziliak
中文摘要
我们利用“收入动态面板研究”(Panel Study of Income Dynamics)中的母女配对数据,考察福利改革对福利参与代际传递的影响。我们发现,母亲参与“抚养未成年子女家庭援助/贫困家庭临时援助”(AFDC/TANF)使其女儿成年后参与该项目的几率提高约25个百分点或更多,但福利改革使这一传递效应至少减弱了50%。然而,当我们考虑更广泛的安全网或其他结果时,福利改革后传递并未减弱。由领取 AFDC/TANF 的母亲抚养长大的女儿在改革后的境况并没有改善,且存在向其他福利项目的跨代替代。
Abstract
We investigate the effect of welfare reform on intergenerational welfare participation, using mother-daughter pairs in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics. We find that a mother’s Aid to Families with Dependent Children/Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (AFDC/TANF) participation increased her daughter’s odds of adult participation in that program by roughly 25 percentage points or more, but that welfare reform attenuated this transmission by at least 50%. However, there is no diminution of transmission after welfare reform when we consider the wider safety net or other outcomes. Daughters who grew up with mothers on AFDC/TANF were no better off after reform, with substitution toward other welfare programs over generations.