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银行网络与经济增长:从特质性冲击到总量波动

Banking Networks and Economic Growth: From Idiosyncratic Shocks to Aggregate Fluctuations
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics · 2026 · Shohini Kundu、Nishant Vats

中文摘要

本文研究银行网络在冲击跨边界传导中的作用。我们将美国的银行业放松管制与州层面的特质性需求冲击相结合,表明地理上多元化的银行会将资金从经历负向冲击的经济体重新配置到未受影响的地区。我们的发现表明,在存在特质性冲击的情况下,金融一体化降低了经济周期联动性并使消费模式同步化。我们的发现有助于解释大缓和,并为以下理论提供了经验支持:这些理论预测,随着市场变得更加完全,银行一体化促进了地区特定风险的保险和资源的有效配置。(JEL E32、F65、G21、G28、J24、L14、R11)

Abstract

This paper investigates the role of banking networks in the transmission of shocks across borders. Combining banking deregulation in the United States with state-level idiosyncratic demand shocks, we show that geographically diversified banks reallocate funds from economies experiencing negative shocks to unaffected regions. Our findings indicate that in the presence of idiosyncratic shocks, financial integration reduces business cycle comovement and synchronizes consumption patterns. Our findings contribute to explaining the Great Moderation and provide empirical support for theories that predict that banking integration facilitates the insurance of region-specific risk and the efficient allocation of resources as markets become more complete. (JEL E32, F65, G21, G28, J24, L14, R11)
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