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住宅太阳能的最优补贴

Optimal Subsidies for Residential Solar
Journal of Political Economy Microeconomics · 2024 · Mark Colas、Emmett Saulnier

中文摘要

本文研究住宅太阳能电池板空间差异化补贴的最优设计。我们构建了一个覆盖全美国的太阳能电池板需求与电力生产结构模型,并结合以下三类数据对模型进行估计:1) 基于遥感的住宅太阳能电池板数据;2) 电厂层面的小时发电量与排放数据;3) 一个最先进的空气污染模型。现行补贴导致严重的空间错配。最优的成本中性改革可使住宅太阳能电池板的环境收益提高 6-11%。在现行制度下,全国性补贴资金超出无约束最优水平十倍以上。

Abstract

We study the optimal design of spatially-differentiated subsidies for residential solar panels. We build a structural model of solar panel demand and electricity production across the US and estimate the model by combining 1) remotely sensed data on residential solar panels, 2) powerplant-level data on hourly production and emissions, and 3) a state-of-the-art air pollution model. The current subsidies lead to severe spatial misallocation. The optimal cost-neutral reform generates a 6-11% increase in the environmental benefits of residential solar panels. National funding for subsidies under the current system exceeds the unconstrained optimum by over tenfold.
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