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专家市场中的搜寻与竞争

Search and Competition in Expert Markets
The RAND Journal of Economics · 2026 · YIRAN CAO、Yongmin Chen、Yucheng Ding、Tianle Zhang

中文摘要

我们分析了一个模型:消费者序贯搜寻专家以获取治疗建议与价格,面临零搜寻成本或正搜寻成本,而专家则同时在这两个维度上展开竞争。在均衡中,专家可能通过夸大消费者问题的严重性并推荐不必要的治疗来"作弊";价格服从取决于问题类型与治疗类型的分布;消费者在搜寻过程中对其问题类型运用贝叶斯信念更新。悖论式的是,随着搜寻成本下降,专家作弊与价格均可能随机地上升。然而,若搜寻成本足够小,竞争将迫使所有专家诚实行事。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We analyze a model where consumers sequentially search experts for treatment recommendations and prices, facing either zero or a positive search cost, whereas experts simultaneously compete in these two dimensions. In equilibrium, experts may “cheat” by overstating the severity of a consumer's problem and recommending an unnecessary treatment, prices follow distributions depending on the problem type and the treatment, and consumers employ Bayesian belief updating about their problem types during search. Paradoxically, as search cost decreases, expert cheating and prices can both increase stochastically. However, if search cost is sufficiently small, competition will force all experts to behave honestly.
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