← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

从税收政策变动中识别税收遵从:理论与实证

Identifying Tax Compliance from Variation in Tax Policy: Theory and Empirics
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2026 · Andrew Bibler、Laura Grigolon、Keith F. Teltser、Mark J. Tremblay

中文摘要

政府日益借助税收规则的变动来打击逃税。我们提出一种可点识别税收遵从以及供给与需求弹性的通用方法。识别需要价格与数量数据、税收政策的变动,以及一个需求或供给移动因子。我们利用 Airbnb 代收代缴协议的数据来示例该方法:在此类协议中,税收通过将法定税负从房东转移至租客、经由平台来执行。我们发现,在强制执行之前,Airbnb 交易中约 0 至 1.6% 的交易缴纳了税款。

Abstract

Governments increasingly use changes in tax rules to combat evasion. We develop a general approach to point-identify tax compliance along with supply and demand elasticities. Identification requires data on prices and quantities, variation in tax policy, and a demand or supply shifter. We illustrate our approach using data on Airbnb collection agreements, where taxes are enforced by shifting the statutory burden away from hosts and onto renters via the platform. We find that taxes are paid on roughly 0 to 1.6 percent of Airbnb transactions prior to enforcement.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →