American Economic Review · 2026 · Diego R. Känzig
中文摘要
本文研究碳定价的经济影响。利用欧洲碳市场的制度特征和高频数据,我识别出碳政策冲击并追踪其动态效应。紧缩性碳政策冲击会提高能源价格、减少排放、刺激绿色创新,但会降低经济活动——并给较贫穷家庭带来不成比例的负担。穷人受影响更大,不仅因为其能源支出更高,还因为其收入损失更大。这些经由收入与就业产生的间接一般均衡效应在碳定价政策的传导中发挥重要作用,约占总消费反应的三分之二。
Abstract
This paper studies the economic impacts of carbon pricing. Exploiting institutional features of the European carbon market and high-frequency data, I identify carbon policy shocks and trace their dynamic effects. A restrictive carbon policy shock raises energy prices, reduces emissions, spurs green innovation, but decreases economic activity—disproportionately burdening poorer households. Not only are the poor more affected because of their higher energy spending, but they also experience larger income losses. These indirect, general equilibrium effects via income and employment play an important role in the transmission of carbon pricing policies, accounting for about two-thirds of the aggregate consumption response.