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社交网络中的扩散:关于信息共享与说服的实验证据

Diffusion in social networks: Experimental evidence on information sharing vs persuasion
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · Marcel Fafchamps、Asad Islam、Debayan Pakrashi、Denni Tommasi

中文摘要

人类行为与创新常常通过社会网络传播,但驱动这种扩散的机制——是信息分享还是劝服——仍存在争议。我们利用在印度北方邦开展的一项大规模随机对照试验(RCT),在推广一款新引入的储蓄承诺产品的过程中考察了这些动态。研究发现,劝服是主导渠道:在对劝服行为给予激励的村庄,产品注册率和采用率显著更高,即便金融素养或产品知识并未相应提升。相反,仅提供信息的影响微乎其微。劝服与信息相结合的干预取得了最高的效果,凸显了二者的互补作用。这些结果凸显了劝服在推动行为改变中的关键作用,并表明仅靠信息传播往往不足以实现有效的采用与扩散。

Abstract

Human behaviors and innovations often spread through social networks, yet the mechanisms driving this diffusion — information sharing or persuasion — remain debated. Using a large-scale randomized controlled trial in Uttar Pradesh, India, we examine these dynamics while promoting a newly introduced savings commitment product. Our findings reveal persuasion as the dominant channel: villages where persuasion was incentivized experienced significantly higher product sign-up and take-up rates, even without corresponding increases in financial literacy or product knowledge. Conversely, providing information alone had minimal impact. The combined intervention of persuasion and information delivered the highest outcomes, highlighting their complementary roles. These results highlight the critical importance of persuasion in driving behavioral change and suggest that information dissemination alone may often be insufficient for effective adoption and diffusion.
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