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唤醒潜在人力资本:19世纪中国的经济开放与创业精神

Awakening latent human capital: Economic opening up and entrepreneurship in 19th century China
Journal of Development Economics · 2026 · Li Duan、Xiaoming Zhang

中文摘要

本文考察中国早期工业化背景下的任人唯贤招募与激励问题。我们分析了1840年至1904年间上尾人力资本对中国创业活动的影响,探讨科举制度如何影响人才在传统部门与现代企业之间的配置。本研究利用通商口岸体系作为中国工业化的外生冲击,揭示了不同层级的上尾人力资本所作出的异质性选择。我们发现,传统人力资本在现代创业中发挥了多元作用:部分知识分子转向新的机遇,而另一些则仍固守于官僚职位。我们的研究结果凸显了科举制度与经济现代化之间复杂的相互作用,为理解官僚结构如何影响人才再配置与工业发展提供了启示。

Abstract

This paper examines meritocratic recruitment and incentive issues within the context of China’s initial industrialization. We analyze the impact of upper-tail human capital on entrepreneurship in China between 1840 and 1904, exploring how the Imperial Examination system influenced talent allocation between traditional sectors and modern firms. Our study leverages the treaty port system as an exogenous shock to China’s industrialization, revealing heterogeneous choices made by different echelons of the upper-tail human capital. We find that traditional human capital played a diverse role in modern entrepreneurship, with some intellectuals transitioning to new opportunities while others remained entrenched in bureaucratic roles. Our findings highlight the complex interplay between civil service examinations and economic modernization, offering insights into how bureaucratic structures can influence talent reallocation and industrial development.
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