← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

充分统计量的再审视

Sufficient Statistics Revisited
Annual Review of Economics · 2021 · Henrik Kleven

中文摘要

本文回顾并推广了用于政策评估的充分统计量方法。该方法的思想是,政策变化的福利效应可以用可估计的简约式弹性来表示,从而无需估计完整设定模型的结构性原始参数即可进行政策评估。该方法依赖三个假设:政策变化是小幅的;政府政策是市场不完善的唯一来源;以及可以利用一组关于环境和偏好的高层级限制,来减少需要估计的弹性数量。我们在这三个维度上都对该方法进行了推广。在非常一般的条件下,可以推导出透明的充分统计量公式,但估计要求会大幅提高。从这类一般公式出发可以阐明,可行的实证实施实际上是一种结构方法。

Abstract

This article reviews and generalizes the sufficient statistics approach to policy evaluation. The idea of the approach is that the welfare effect of policy changes can be expressed in terms of estimable reduced-form elasticities, allowing for policy evaluation without estimating the structural primitives of fully specified models. The approach relies on three assumptions: that policy changes are small, that government policy is the only source of market imperfection, and that a set of high-level restrictions on the environment and on preferences can be used to reduce the number of elasticities to be estimated. We generalize the approach in all three dimensions. It is possible to develop transparent sufficient statistics formulas under very general conditions, but the estimation requirements increase greatly. Starting from such general formulas elucidates that feasible empirical implementations are in fact structural approaches.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →