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为何全球化助长民粹主义? 经济学、文化与右翼民粹主义的兴起

Why Does Globalization Fuel Populism? Economics, Culture, and the Rise of Right-Wing Populism
Annual Review of Economics · 2021 · [{"name": "Dani Rodrik", "affiliation": ["Harvard University", "John F. Kennedy University"]}]

中文摘要

有力证据表明,全球化冲击往往通过文化和身份认同发挥作用,在推动对民粹主义运动(尤其是右翼民粹主义)的支持上发挥了重要作用。我首先对美国2016年总统选举进行实证分析,表明与全球化相关的态度变量是转向特朗普的重要相关因素。随后,我提出一个概念框架,识别出全球化可以刺激民粹主义的四个不同渠道,其中政治的需求侧和供给侧各有两个。我借助这一框架评估实证文献,分别讨论贸易、金融全球化和移民。最后,我通过讨论若干表面上反常的案例来结束本文综述——在这些案例中,民粹主义者反对而非支持贸易保护。

Abstract

There is compelling evidence that globalization shocks, often working through culture and identity, have played an important role in driving up support for populist movements, particularly of the right-wing kind. I start with an empirical analysis of the 2016 presidential election in the United States to show that globalization-related attitudinal variables were important correlates of the switch to Trump. I then provide a conceptual framework that identifies four distinct channels through which globalization can stimulate populism, two each on the demand and supply sides of politics. I evaluate the empirical literature with the help of this framework, discussing trade, financial globalization, and immigration separately. I conclude the review by discussing some apparently anomalous cases in which populists have been against, rather than in favor of, trade protection.
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