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通过定向税收制度推动微型创业者正规化:来自巴西的证据

Formalizing microentrepreneurs through targeted tax systems: Evidence from Brazil
Journal of Public Economics · 2026 · Alison de Farias、Roberto Hsu Rocha

中文摘要

本文利用巴西针对微型创业者引入简化税制这一举措,研究降低正规化成本的效果。基于新型行政数据与行业层面的资格标准,我们发现进入成本与合规成本的大幅下降显著增加了正规企业的创办数量。尽管正规化程度有所提高,新近正规化的企业并未表现出增长或收入方面的增益。随后,我们评估了这一新税制的财政后果,结果显示:社会保障覆盖面扩大所产生的成本,是新增税收收入的2.56倍。这些成本源于微型创业者通过该制度登记后,获得了享受补贴性缴费型福利的资格。这一结果凸显出,即便政府净收入未增加、企业绩效也未见改善,将微型创业者纳入正规部门仍具有更广泛的社会价值。

Abstract

We study the effects of reducing formalization costs by exploiting the introduction of a simplified tax regime for microentrepreneurs in Brazil. Using novel administrative data and industry-level eligibility criteria, we show that a large reduction in entry and compliance costs significantly increased formal firm creation. Despite the increase in formalization, newly formal firms exhibit no growth or earnings gains. We then evaluate the new tax system’s fiscal consequences, showing that the expansion in social security coverage generated costs that exceed the additional tax revenue collected by 2.56 times. These costs arise as microentrepreneurs gain access to subsidized contributory benefits after registering through the system, highlighting the broader social value of bringing microentrepreneurs into the formal sector even in the absence of positive government net revenue or improvements in firm performance.

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