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意识形态一致性与循证政策采纳

Ideological Alignment and Evidence-Based Policy Adoption
American Economic Review · 2024 · [{"name": "Jorge García Hombrados", "affiliation": ["Universidad Autónoma de Madrid"]}, {"name": "Marcel Jansen", "affiliation": ["IZA - Institute of Labor Economics", "Institute for Applied Economic Research", "Fundación de Estudios de Economía Aplicada", "Universidad Autónoma de Madrid"]}, {"name": "Ángel Martínez", "affiliation": ["Economic Policy Institute"]}, {"name": "Berkay Özcan", "affiliation": ["Yale University"]}, {"name": "Pedro Rey‐Biel", "affiliation": ["Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona"]}, {"name": "Antonio Roldán-Monés", "affiliation": ["Economic Policy Institute"]}]

中文摘要

循证政策的实施取决于证据向政策制定者的传播,而这一过程受到信息发送者属性的影响。我们开展了一项全国性随机对照试验(RCT),其中两个意识形态相反的知名智库、两家主要报纸以及一个意识形态不显著的研究机构,就一项基于已发表研究成果、低成本、非意识形态且有效的政策,向大量西班牙地方政策制定者传达了相同的信息。我们直接衡量了信息对政策采纳的影响,发现存在异质性效应。当提供信息的机构与政策制定者在意识形态上一致时,传达研究结果使政策采纳相较于未获信息的对照组增加了超过65%;而来自相反意识形态机构的信息提供则不会导致政策采纳。我们的设计还使我们能够比较智库等知识中介与主要报纸报道在公共政策采纳方面的影响。我们发现,当二者与政策制定者在意识形态上一致时,二者在提高政策采纳方面同样有效。我们提出一个政策采纳过程的三阶段概念框架——选择性接触信息、信念更新和政策实施——并表明意识形态一致性并不影响对信息的选择性接触。然而,一项干预后在线实验的证据显示,意识形态一致性会影响关于所推荐政策有效性的信念更新。最后,我们讨论了在使用意识形态一致和意识形态不显著的机构传播研究证据时,有效性与覆盖面之间的权衡,并评述了意识形态一致性对政策实施的经济影响。

Abstract

The implementation of evidence-based policies hinges on the dissemination of evidence to policymakers, a process influenced by the attributes of the sender. We conduct a country-wide RCT in which two ideologically opposite prominent think tanks, two major newspapers, and a research institution with nonsalient ideology communicate identical information about a low-cost, non-ideological, and effective policy based on published research findings to a large sample of Spanish local policymakers. We measure the impact of information directly on policy adoption and find heterogeneous effects. When the informing institution aligns ideologically with policymakers, communicating research results leads to a more than 65% increase in policy adoption compared to an uninformed control group, while informing from an opposite ideology does not lead to policy adoption. Our design also allows us to compare the impact of knowledge brokers, such as think tanks, and coverage in leading newspapers in adopting public policies. We find that, when ideologically aligned with policymakers, both are equally effective in increasing policy adoption. We propose a three-stage conceptual framework of policy adoption processes - selective exposure to information, belief updating, and policy implementation- and show that ideological alignment does not influence selective exposure to information. However, evidence from a post-intervention online experiment shows that ideological alignment affects belief updating regarding a recommended policy's effectiveness. Finally, we discuss the trade-offs between effectiveness and outreach when using ideologically aligned and nonsalient institutions to disseminate research evidence and comment on the economic impact of ideological alignment for policy implementation.
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