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国内外包与就业保障

Domestic Outsourcing and Employment Security
Journal of Development Economics · 2025 · Naijia Guo、D.D. Li、Michael C. S. Wong

中文摘要

已有研究表明,国内外包会降低劳动者工资,但其对就业保障——工作质量的一个关键维度——的影响尚未得到研究。利用巴西全面的雇员—雇主匹配数据,我们发现,在清洁工和保安任职的最初几年中,外包降低了其退出正规就业的风险。劳动需求波动性更大的城市中,这一就业风险降幅更为明显。这一降幅并不能归因于劳动者特征的差异,也不能归因于其面临当地劳动力市场冲击程度的不同。估计结果表明,外包对劳动者收入净现值的正向影响,大于仅根据工资差异所推断出的影响。这些模式与一个搜寻理论模型相一致:在该模型中,外包有助于劳动者在企业之间实现重新配置。

Abstract

Domestic outsourcing is known to reduce worker wages, but its effect on employment security — a key dimension of job quality — has not been studied. Using Brazil’s comprehensive employee–employer linked data, we find that outsourcing reduces exit from formal employment among cleaners and security guards during their first few years of tenure. The observed reduction in employment hazard is larger in cities with greater volatility in labor demand. The reduction is not attributable to differences in worker characteristics or differential exposure to local labor market shocks. The estimates suggest that outsourcing had larger positive effects on the net present value of worker earnings than implied by wage differentials alone. The patterns are consistent with a search-theoretic model in which outsourcing eases reassignment across firms.
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