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紧急经济援助对就业与收入的影响

The Effect of Emergency Financial Assistance on Employment and Earnings
Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · Daniel Hungerman、David Phillips、Kevin Rinz、James M. Sullivan

中文摘要

我们考察了短期收入转移支付对经历住房危机家庭的劳动供给效应。我们将拨打紧急援助无家可归预防热线的来电者与其联邦税务记录相匹配,并衡量其在拨打热线前后数年间的收入。我们的方法利用援助可获得性的准随机变异,比较获得资金与未获得资金的相似家庭。考察援助后长达四年的情况,我们发现有收入增加的证据,这一点在收入最低者中尤为明显;总体而言,我们未发现援助会降低收入的证据。我们的结果表明,对于身处危机中的人而言,临时转移支付的收入效应即便存在也很小,且这些定向转移支付可能会为最贫困群体带来劳动力市场方面的收益。

Abstract

We examine the labor supply effects of short-term income transfers for families experiencing a housing crisis. We link callers to an emergency assistance homelessness prevention hotline to their federal tax records and measure their earnings in the years surrounding their calls. Our methodology exploits quasi-random variation in the availability of assistance to compare similar families receiving and not receiving funds. Looking up to four years post-assistance, we find evidence, especially for the lowest earners, of earnings gains, and overall we find no evidence that assistance lowers earnings. Our results indicate that any income effect of temporary transfers for those in crisis is minimal and that these targeted transfers may convey labor market benefits for the poorest of the poor.
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