紧急财政援助对就业和收入的影响
The Effect of Emergency Financial Assistance on Employment and Earnings
Journal of Public Economics · 2024 · [{"name": "Daniel Hungerman", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "David Phillips", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "Kevin Rinz", "affiliation": []}, {"name": "James M. Sullivan", "affiliation": []}]
中文摘要
我们考察面临住房危机家庭获得短期收入转移支付后的劳动供给效应。我们将拨打紧急援助无家可归预防热线的来电者与其联邦税务记录相链接，并衡量其来电前后几年的收入情况。我们的方法利用了援助可得性方面的准随机变异，比较获得资金与未获得资金的相似家庭。在考察援助后长达四年的情况时，我们发现了收入增加的证据——尤其是对最低收入者而言；总体而言，我们没有发现援助降低收入的证据。我们的结果表明，对处于危机中的人群而言，临时转移支付的任何收入效应都十分有限，且这些定向转移支付可能为最贫困群体带来劳动力市场收益。
Abstract
We examine the labor supply effects of short-term income transfers for families experiencing a housing crisis. We link callers to an emergency assistance homelessness prevention hotline to their federal tax records and measure their earnings in the years surrounding their calls. Our methodology exploits quasi-random variation in the availability of assistance to compare similar families receiving and not receiving funds. Looking up to four years post-assistance, we find evidence, especially for the lowest earners, of earnings gains, and overall we find no evidence that assistance lowers earnings. Our results indicate that any income effect of temporary transfers for those in crisis is minimal and that these targeted transfers may convey labor market benefits for the poorest of the poor.