← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

问责制的非预期后果:来自巴基斯坦警务的准实验证据

The Unintended Consequences of Accountability: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Policing in Pakistan
Journal of Public Economics · 2023 · Hamna Ahmed、Dareen Latif、Kate Vyborny

中文摘要

本文利用巴基斯坦警方的行政微观数据,研究委托-代理关系中的数据操纵行为。我们发现,在执政党拥有特定选区、因而政治问责压力较高的地区,警方登记公民犯罪报案的可能性更低。我们报告了一系列检验,以排除这一结果由犯罪预防力度增强所解释的可能性。研究结果与以下情形一致:官员在压低犯罪统计数据的压力下,决定不登记部分报案。随着一套新的犯罪报案追踪数据库逐步推广、可观测性提高,登记的犯罪数量随之增加。

Abstract

We investigate data manipulation in the principal-agent relationship using administrative microdata from the police in Pakistan. We find that police are less likely to register citizens’ crime reports in areas where political accountability pressure is higher because the governing party holds a particular constituency. We report a series of tests to rule out the possibility that this result is explained by increased crime prevention. The results are consistent with officials deciding not to register some reports, under pressure to keep crime statistics low. As a new crime reports tracking database is rolled out, improving observability, the number of registered crimes increases.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →