← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

通胀与注意力阈值

Inflation and Attention Thresholds
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2026 · Oleg Korenok、David Munro、Jiayi Chen

中文摘要

高通胀的危险之一在于,它可能导致个人密切关注通胀。这种对通胀的内化可能引发加速主义机制,使通胀更难以控制。我们针对38个国家实证评估了关注度与通胀之间的关系。我们的关注度指标构建自互联网搜索行为或Twitter上提及通胀的流行度。我们发现证据表明,多数国家存在关注度阈值,且这些阈值通常出现在2%至4%的通胀率之间。我们还记录了各国之间有趣的差异,并在报纸对通胀的报道中发现了类似的阈值。

Abstract

Abstract One of the dangers of high inflation is that it can cause individuals to pay close attention to it. This internalization of inflation can lead to an accelerationist regime, making inflation harder to control. We empirically assess the relationship between attention and inflation for 38 countries. Our measures of attention are constructed from Internet search behavior or the popularity of inflation mentions on Twitter. We find evidence that attention thresholds exist for most of the countries, and that they typically occur between 2% and 4% inflation. We also document interesting variability across countries and find similar thresholds in newspaper coverage of inflation.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →