竞争力能否预测教育与劳动力市场结果？来自激励性选择与调查测量的证据

Abstract We assess the predictive power of two measures of competitiveness for education and labor market outcomes using a large, representative survey panel. The first is incentivized and is an online adaptation of the laboratory-based Niederle-Vesterlund measure. The second is an unincentivized survey question eliciting general competitiveness. Both measures are strong predictors of income, occupation, level of education, and field of study. The predictive power of the new unincentivized measure is robust to controlling for other traits, including risk attitudes, confidence, and the Big Five personality traits. For most outcomes, the predictive power of competitiveness exceeds that of the other traits.