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基础设施发展的非预期后果

The Unintended Consequences of Infrastructure Development
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2024 · [{"name": "Antonella Bancalari", "affiliation": ["Institute for Fiscal Studies"]}]

中文摘要

摘要 本文研究了公共基础设施实施不善所造成的社会成本。聚焦于2005年至2015年秘鲁政府启动全国性下水道系统扩建计划的时期,本文利用了实施阶段启动时间的准随机变异。通过结合多个行政数据来源,本文发现基础设施建设增加了婴儿和5岁以下儿童死亡率。这些效应由施工相关的健康和安全隐患驱动,导致事故和水传播疾病造成的死亡增加。在施工活动更为密集的地区,这些效应的严重程度更为突出。

Abstract

Abstract I investigate the social costs imposed by poor implementation of public infrastructure. Focusing on the period from 2005 to 2015 in Peru, when the government embarked on a nationwide initiative to expand sewerage systems, I leverage quasirandom variation in initiation of the implementation phase. By combining several sources of administrative data, I find that infrastructure development increased infant and under-5 mortality. These effects are driven by health and safety hazards associated with construction work, leading to increased deaths from accidents and waterborne diseases. The severity of these effects is more pronounced in areas where construction activity was more intense.
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