体育博彩合法化放大情绪线索与亲密伴侣暴力
Sports Betting Legalization Amplifies Emotional Cues and Intimate Partner Violence
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2026 · [{"name": "Emily Arnesen", "affiliation": ["Jones College"]}, {"name": "Kyutaro Matsuzawa", "affiliation": ["Kanazawa Seiryo University"]}]
中文摘要
摘要：本研究考察合法化体育博彩、源自 NFL 主队爆冷失利的非预期情绪线索与报告在案的亲密伴侣暴力（IPV）之间的关系。利用 NIBRS 的 1995—2022 年犯罪数据, 并复制与扩展 Card 和 Dahl（2011）的模型, 我们发现博彩合法化使爆冷失利对 IPV 的影响增加了 10 个百分点。在允许移动端博彩的州、投注金额更高时、发薪日前后以及处于连胜状态的球队中, 这一效应更大。这些结果表明, 博彩造成的财务损失会放大对球队意外失利的情绪反应。
Abstract
Abstract This study explores the relationship between legalized sports gambling, unexpected emotional cues stemming from NFL home team upset losses and reported intimate partner violence (IPV). Using 1995–2022 crime data from NIBRS, replicating and extending Card and Dahl (2011)’s model, we find that legalized gambling increases the impact of upset losses on IPV by 10 percentage points. The e!ect is larger in states with mobile betting, where higher bets were placed, around paydays, and for teams on a winning streak. These results suggest that financial losses from gambling amplify emotional reactions to unexpected team losses.