高中专业选择中的代际与同胞溢出效应
Intergenerational and Sibling Spillovers in High School Majors
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy · 2024 · [{"name": "Gordon B. Dahl", "affiliation": ["Norwegian School of Economics"]}, {"name": "Dan‐Olof Rooth", "affiliation": ["Stockholm University", "Linnaeus University", "Swedish Institute"]}, {"name": "Anders Stenberg", "affiliation": ["Stockholm University", "Swedish Institute"]}]
中文摘要
本文估计了瑞典高中专业选择中的家庭溢出效应；在瑞典，超额申请专业的录取由平均绩点（GPA）决定。基于断点回归设计，我们发现存在较大的同胞与代际溢出效应，且这些效应取决于二人组合的性别构成。同性同胞会相互模仿，而弟弟则会回避姐姐的选择。父亲和母亲会影响儿子，但不会影响女儿，除非母亲主修男性主导的工程专业。粗略估算表明，这些家庭内部溢出效应对专业的性别构成具有相当大的影响。(JEL I21, J12, J13, J16)
Abstract
This paper estimates family spillovers in high school major choice in Sweden, where admission to oversubscribed majors is determined based on GPA. Using a regression discontinuity design, we find large sibling and intergenerational spillovers that depend on the sex mix of a dyad. Same-sex siblings copy one another, while younger brothers recoil from an older sister’s choices. Fathers and mothers influence sons but not their daughters, except when a mother majors in the male-dominated program of engineering. Back-of-the-envelope calculations reveal that these within-family spillovers have sizable implications for the sex composition of majors. (JEL I21, J12, J13, J16)