丰饶的诅咒：绿色革命与慢性病上升
The Curse of Plenty: The Green Revolution and the Rise in Chronic Disease
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2024 · [{"name": "Sheetal Sekhri", "affiliation": ["University of Virginia"]}, {"name": "Gauri Kartini Shastry", "affiliation": ["Wellesley College"]}]
中文摘要
慢性病发病率上升是全球疾病负担的主要驱动因素之一，但其决定因素尚未被充分认识。本文利用绿色革命及其在印度历史上地下水资源丰富地区的扩张，考察农业生产率增长对慢性、饮食相关疾病上升所产生的非预期贡献。我们发现，在更多采用新型主粮品种的地区，高产作物引入后出生的男性糖尿病发病率有所上升。我们发现了提示性证据，表明饮食是其中一个重要机制，例如影响因饮食习惯不同而存在异质性，以及家庭热量摄入的增加。(JEL I12, O13, O15, O31, Q12, Q16)
Abstract
The rising rate of chronic disease is a leading driver of the global disease burden. Yet, its determinants are not fully understood. Exploiting the Green Revolution and its expansion in historically groundwater-rich Indian districts, we examine the unanticipated contribution of agricultural productivity growth to the rise in chronic, diet-related diseases. We find that areas with greater adoption of new staple varieties saw an increase in diabetes in men born after the introduction of high-yield crops. We find suggestive evidence that diet is an important mechanism, such as heterogeneous impacts with respect to dietary habits and increases in household calorie consumption. (JEL I12, O13, O15, O31, Q12, Q16)