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非洲手工采矿:以绿换金?

Artisanal mining in Africa. Green for Gold?
The Economic Journal · 2025 · Victoire Girard、Teresa Molina-Millán、Guillaume Vic

中文摘要

1.3亿至2.7亿人的生计依赖于手工采矿。手工采矿是一种劳动密集型、往往非法的采掘活动。我们结合地质知识与一种外生时间变异来源,构建了非洲手工金矿开采——手工采矿的主要形式——的首个代理变量。我们证实,手工采矿潜在价值的增加是森林砍伐的一个重要驱动因素。金价的历史性上涨解释了整个非洲大陆8%的森林损失,而在适宜采金地区的子样本中,这一比例为28%。与此同时,手工采矿提高了当地经济财富;如果天气冲击危及农业产出,手工采矿也可能提供一种替代生计。最后,采矿引致的森林砍伐似乎更多源于为开展该活动而直接清除树木,而非由当地需求增加所触发的间接森林砍伐。

Abstract

Abstract The livelihoods of 130 to 270 million people depend on artisanal mining. Artisanal mining is a labour-intensive, often illegal, extractive activity. We combine geological knowledge and a source of exogenous temporal variation to construct the first proxy for artisanal gold mining in Africa—the main form of artisanal mining. We establish that an increase in the potential value of artisanal mining is a significant driver of deforestation. The historical increase in the gold price accounts for 8% of forest loss across the continent and, within the subset of gold-suitable areas, 28 %. In parallel, artisanal mining increases local economic wealth and may provide an alternative livelihood should a weather shock jeopardise agricultural output. Finally, mining-induced deforestation seems rooted more in the direct clearing of trees for the activity than in indirect deforestation triggered by increased local demand.
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