1980年后代际流动性的下降
The Decline in Intergenerational Mobility after 1980
Review of Economics and Statistics · 2024 · [{"name": "Jonathan M. Davis", "affiliation": ["University of Oregon"]}, {"name": "Bhashkar Mazumder", "affiliation": ["Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago"]}]
中文摘要
相对代际流动性出现下降：与1950年前后出生的队列相比，1960年前后出生的队列流动性更低。1960年队列是在1980年前后不平等加剧之后才进入劳动力市场，而1950年队列进入劳动力市场的时间更早。我们表明，秩-秩斜率从0.25上升到0.36，代际弹性从0.28上升到0.45，这些上升在男性中比在女性中更为明显。教育回报的提高，以及按父母收入划分的结婚可能性梯度的扩大，是代际持续性增强的促成因素。
Abstract
Abstract Relative intergenerational mobility declined for cohorts born around 1960 compared to those born around 1950. The former entered the labor market after the rise in inequality around 1980, while the latter entered the labor market earlier. We show that the rank-rank slope rose from 0.25 to 0.36 and the intergenerational elasticity increased from 0.28 to 0.45. These increases are more pronounced for men than for women. Increases in returns to schooling and in the gradient in the likelihood of marriage by parent income are contributors to increased intergenerational persistence.