警察监督对犯罪和不当行为指控的影响：来自芝加哥的证据

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2023 · [{"name": "Roman Rivera", "affiliation": ["Georgetown University"]}, {"name": "Bocar Ba", "affiliation": ["Duke University"]}]

中文摘要

警察监督会增加犯罪吗？考察这一关系的研究通常以重大丑闻作为冲击进行分析，但公众愤怒对警员行为和犯罪的同时影响会污染研究结果。我们使用一个区分监督与愤怒的框架，识别出两起增加了监督但未引发公众反应的事件。研究发现，尽管随后报告的不当行为有所下降，但这些监督的增加很可能并未显著影响犯罪或警员活动，这表明监督可以在不增加犯罪的情况下减少不当行为。然而，一起重大警务丑闻很可能增加了犯罪，但并未增加逮捕，同时减少了盘查和武力使用。

Abstract

Abstract Does police oversight increase crime? Studies examining this relationship often rely on major scandals as shocks, but the simultaneous effect of public outrage on officer behavior and crime contaminates the results. Using a framework distinguishing oversight and outrage, we identify two events that increased oversight but elicited no public reaction. We find that despite a subsequent decline in reported misconduct, these oversight increases likely did not significantly impact crime or officer activity, suggesting oversight can reduce misconduct without increasing crime. However, a major policing scandal likely increased crime but did not increase arrests and decreased stops and uses of force.