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强制联姻:财政政策与货币政策

Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy
Annual Review of Economics · 2020 · Marco Bassetto、Thomas J. Sargent

中文摘要

本文通过批判性地评述有关(a)最优预期通货膨胀、(b)最优非预期通货膨胀,以及(c)确保唯一价格水平路径意义上的名义锚的条件等理论,描述了影响均衡价格水平和利率的货币政策与财政政策之间的相互作用。我们对比了不完整理论与完整理论:前者的输入是满足预算可行性的政府发行债券和货币序列;后者的输入是债券/货币策略,这些策略被描述为一系列函数,将t时点的历史映射为t时点的政府行动。我们引用了历史事件,以证实如下理论洞见:财政部与中央银行之间的权力界线可能是模糊、晦涩且脆弱的。

Abstract

This review describes interactions between monetary and fiscal policies that affect equilibrium price levels and interest rates by critically surveying theories about ( a) optimal anticipated inflation, ( b) optimal unanticipated inflation, and ( c) conditions that secure a nominal anchor in the sense of a unique price level path. We contrast incomplete theories whose inputs are budget-feasible sequences of government-issued bonds and money with complete theories whose inputs are bond/money strategies described as sequences of functions that map time t histories into time t government actions. We cite historical episodes that confirm the theoretical insight that lines of authority between a Treasury and a central bank can be ambiguous, obscure, and fragile.
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