HIV/AIDS 疫情后的投票与政治参与
Voting and Political Participation in the Aftermath of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic
Journal of Human Resources · 2022 · [{"name": "Hani Mansour", "affiliation": ["University of Denver"]}, {"name": "James Reeves", "affiliation": ["James Cook University"]}]
中文摘要
本研究考察 HIV/AIDS 疫情及其公共卫生应对措施对政治行为的影响。利用美国众议院选举数据，并借助 1983-1987 年期间 HIV/AIDS 死亡率的跨选区差异，我们发现，自 20 世纪 90 年代初起，暴露于 HIV/AIDS 死亡率提高了民主党候选人的得票份额、选民投票率以及获得的捐款。在竞争激烈的选区，对民主党的支持率上升幅度更大。这一结果与以下解释一致：HIV/AIDS 死亡率影响了文化态度，并导致投票模式和政治参与发生更广泛且持久的变化。
Abstract
<h3>Abstract</h3> This study examines the effect of the HIV/AIDS epidemic and the public health response to it on political behaviors. Using data on elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and leveraging cross-district variation in HIV/AIDS mortality during the period 1983-1987, we find that, beginning with the early 1990s, exposure to HIV/AIDS mortality increased the vote share, voter turnout, and contributions made to Democratic candidates. The increased support for Democrats is larger in competitive districts. The results are consistent with HIV/AIDS mortality impacting cultural attitudes and leading to broader and persistent changes in voting patterns and political participation.