飓风玛丽亚移民的经济影响

Journal of Human Resources · 2022 · [{"name": "Giovanni Peri", "affiliation": ["National Bureau of Economic Research"]}, {"name": "Derek Rury", "affiliation": ["Drury University"]}, {"name": "Justin Wiltshire", "affiliation": ["Wiltshire College"]}]

中文摘要

我们考察 2017 年飓风玛丽亚之后波多黎各人大规模迁入奥兰多所产生的经济影响。使用合成控制法，我们发现奥兰多非西班牙裔就业增加，且受教育程度较低劳动者的总体劳动力市场效应为正。就业效应在建筑业尤其大。尽管我们发现建筑业收入略有下降，但这被零售业和酒店餐饮业的收入增长所抵消。这与如下情况一致：移民对受到劳动供给冲击的部门收入产生小幅负面影响，但被受到相关正向需求冲击的部门中的正向效应所抵消。

Abstract

<h3>Abstract</h3> We examine the economic impact of the large Puerto Rican migration into Orlando following Hurricane Maria in 2017. Using a synthetic control approach, we find non‐Hispanic employment increased in Orlando and positive aggregate labor market effects for less‐educated workers. The employment effect was particularly large in the construction sector. While we find that construction earnings decreased slightly, this was balanced by earnings growth in retail and hospitality. This is consistent with immigration having small negative impacts on earnings in sectors exposed to a labor supply shock, offset by positive effects in sectors impacted by an associated positive demand shock.