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资产价格再分配

Asset-Price Redistribution
Journal of Political Economy · 2025 · Andreas Fagereng、Matthieu Gomez、Émilien Gouin-Bonenfant、Martin Blomhoff Holm、Benjamin Moll、Gisle James Natvik

中文摘要

过去几十年来,许多资产类别的估值大幅上升。这些不断上升的估值对财富分配产生了重要影响。然而,其对福利分配的影响仍鲜为人知。为推进对这一问题的研究,我们推导出资产估值变化所产生的(货币度量)福利效应的一个充分统计量,该统计量取决于个人净资产出售额的现值:资产价格上涨使潜在卖方受益,而使潜在买方受损。我们使用覆盖1994年至2019年挪威全部金融交易的微观面板数据估计这一指标。我们发现,资产估值上升产生了巨大的再分配效应:它将福利从年轻人转移给老年人,并从穷人转移给富人。

Abstract

Over the last several decades, there has been a large increase in asset valuations across many asset classes. These rising valuations had important effects on the distribution of wealth. However, little is known regarding their effect on the distribution of welfare. To make progress on this question, we derive a sufficient statistic for the (money metric) welfare effect of a change in asset valuations, which depends on the present value of an individual’s net asset sales: rising asset prices benefit prospective sellers and harm prospective buyers. We estimate this quantity using panel microdata covering the universe of financial transactions in Norway from 1994 to 2019. We find that rising asset valuations had large redistributive effects: they redistributed from the young towards the old and from the poor towards the wealthy
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