家庭法对离婚、生育与子女投资的影响
Family Law Effects on Divorce, Fertility, and Child Investment
Journal of Labor Economics · 2025 · [{"name": "Meta Brown", "affiliation": ["Supélec", "University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Southern Switzerland", "Shandong University of Political Science and Law", "The Ohio State University"]}, {"name": "Christopher J. Flinn", "affiliation": ["Supélec", "University of Applied Sciences and Arts of Southern Switzerland", "Shandong University of Political Science and Law", "New York University"]}, {"name": "Joseph Mullins", "affiliation": ["University of Minnesota System"]}]
中文摘要
为评估规范离异父母养育行为的政策（如子女抚养费令、子女监护权分配和婚姻解除标准）对子女福利的影响，必须考虑这些政策不仅对离婚率的影响，还要考虑其对配偶生育选择和子女投资的影响。我们构建了一个关于生育、养育与离婚的模型，并据此利用父母时间分配、子女认知成就以及实际生育与离婚数据，估计出父母偏好和子女认知能力生产函数。模拟结果表明，降低离婚的家庭政策对生育和子女发展均具有显著的负面影响。
Abstract
To assess the child welfare impact of policies governing divorced parenting, such as child support orders, child custody assignments, and marital dissolution standards, one must consider their influence not only on the divorce rate but also on spouses’ fertility choices and child investments. We develop a model of fertility, parenting, and divorce, from which we derive estimates of parental preferences and a child cognitive ability production function, using data on parental time allocation, children’s cognitive attainment, and realized fertility and divorce. Family policies that reduce divorce are simulated to have significant negative impacts on both fertility and child development.