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政治选拔中的人格特质与认知能力

Personality Traits and Cognitive Ability in Political Selection
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2025 · [{"name": "Markus Jokela", "affiliation": ["University of Helsinki"]}, {"name": "Jaakko Meriläinen", "affiliation": ["Stockholm School of Economics"]}, {"name": "Janne Tukiainen", "affiliation": ["University of Turku", "VATT Institute for Economic Research"]}, {"name": "Åsa von Schoultz", "affiliation": ["University of Helsinki"]}]

中文摘要

大量学术研究质疑选民在投票站是否充分知情,能够按自身最佳利益行事,这也可能影响政治代表的质量。在本研究中,我们考察芬兰国防军对(男性)义务兵进行的认知与非认知能力测试,并将政党提名的地方和全国选举候选人、由选民选出的代表与彼此及一般人口进行比较。我们发现,未当选候选人的测试表现平均优于一般人口,而当选政治家的能力水平甚至更高。地方政治家的认知与非认知技能与从事高技能职业或至少拥有本科学位者相当,全国政治家的能力水平则更高。我们的发现表明,尽管以选民为导向的体制存在固有的复杂决策环境,仍会涌现出一个比一般人口更胜任、更有动机、更诚实的政治阶层。我们进一步讨论了女性获得正向政治选拔的空间,表明政治家素质与描述性代表之间并不存在明显权衡,并就正向选拔的机制及其政策效应提供了证据。

Abstract

Abstract A vast scholarship questions whether voters are sufficiently informed to act in their best interest at the polling booth, which may also have implications for the quality of political representation. In this study, we examine cognitive and non-cognitive ability tests conducted on (male) military conscripts by the Finnish Defense Forces and compare local and national election candidates nominated by political parties and representatives elected by voters with each other and the general population. We show that non-elected candidates fare better in the tests than the population, on average, and elected politicians demonstrate even higher levels of ability. Local politicians’ cognitive and non-cognitive skills are on par with individuals who work in high-skill occupations or have at least an undergraduate degree, and national politicians are even better. Our findings suggest that, despite the complex decision-making environment inherent in voter-oriented systems, a political class that is more competent, motivated, and honest than the general population emerges. We further discuss the scope for positive political selection of women, show that there is no evident trade-off between politician quality and descriptive representation, and present evidence on the mechanisms for and the policy effects of positive selection.
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