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理性疏忽的统计歧视:阿罗遇见费尔普斯

Rationally Inattentive Statistical Discrimination: Arrow Meets Phelps
Journal of the European Economic Association · 2025 · Federico Echenique、Anqi Li

中文摘要

当信息获取成本高昂但方式灵活时,委托人可能会理性地获取有利于某一群体而不利于另一群体的信息。前一群体面临投资以提高生产率的激励,而后一群体则被抑制进行此类投资。进而,委托人在很大程度上忽视群体之间的生产率差异,主要提拔已投资的群体,除非投资不足的群体以真正出色的结果令其意外。我们表明,当注意力成本处于中等水平、投资成本较低且投资很可能成功时,尽管所有群体事前完全相同,歧视性均衡仍是委托人最偏好的均衡。我们的结果为关于平权行动、隐性偏见以及职业隔离和刻板印象的讨论提供了启示。

Abstract

Abstract When information acquisition is costly but flexible, a principal may rationally acquire information that favors one group over another. The former group faces incentives to invest in becoming productive, while the latter is discouraged from such investments. In turn, the principal largely overlooks the productivity differences between groups and primarily promotes the invested group, unless the underinvested group surprises him with a genuinely outstanding outcome. We show that, when attention costs are intermediate, investment costs are low, and investments are likely to succeed, the discriminatory equilibrium is the most preferred by the principal, despite all groups being ex-ante identical. Our results inform the discussion of affirmative action, implicit bias, and occupational segregation and stereotypes.
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