减少重罪定罪的劳动力市场影响
The Labor Market Impacts of Reducing Felony Convictions
AER: Insights · 2024 · [{"name": "Amanda Agan", "affiliation": ["Rutgers Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights"]}, {"name": "Andrew Garin", "affiliation": ["Carnegie Mellon University"]}, {"name": "Dmitri Koustas", "affiliation": ["University of Chicago"]}, {"name": "Alexandre Mas", "affiliation": ["University of California, Berkeley"]}, {"name": "Crystal Yang", "affiliation": ["Harvard University"]}]
中文摘要
我们研究加利福尼亚州圣华金县将重罪追溯性减为轻罪的劳动力市场影响。在该县，刑事司法机构以准随机顺序实施第47号提案下的减刑处理，且不要求受影响个人提供意见或采取行动。将减刑记录与行政税务数据相链接后，我们发现，（可能）主动请求减刑的个人获得了就业收益，这与选择效应相一致；但在记录被（机构）主动减刑的更大规模个人子集中，未发现此类收益。一项就部分个人的主动减刑情况向其发出通知的实地实验同样显示零结果，表明缺乏知情不太可能解释我们的发现。（JEL C93, H76, J22, K14, K42）
Abstract
We study the labor market impacts of retroactively reducing felonies to misdemeanors in San Joaquin County, California, where criminal justice agencies implemented Proposition 47 reductions in a quasi-random order, without requiring input or action from affected individuals. Linking records of reductions to administrative tax data, we find employment benefits for individuals who (likely) requested their reduction, consistent with selection, but no benefits among the larger subset of individuals whose records were reduced proactively. A field experiment notifying a subset of individuals about their proactive reduction also shows null results, implying that lack of awareness is unlikely to explain our findings. (JEL C93, H76, J22, K14, K42)