← ireadpaper · 顶刊中的公共政策研究

老问题的新进展:金钱对儿童发展结果重要吗?

New Advances on an Old Question: Does Money Matter for Children’s Outcomes?
Journal of Economic Literature · 2024 · [{"name": "Marianne Page", "affiliation": ["University of California, Davis"]}]

中文摘要

家庭收入是儿童健康、人力资本及成年后收入的正向预测因素,但确定这些关联在多大程度上反映了因果效应具有挑战性。近期一波自然实验与随机实验,结合大规模行政数据可及性的提升,使我们得以从新的视角认识家庭货币资源对美国及其他高收入国家儿童的重要性。本综述汇集新兴文献,以更深入地揭示我们已知与未知之处——即提供更慷慨收入转移的政策,在多大程度上可能改变儿童的人生际遇。我对现有证据的解读表明,向经济弱势家庭提供财政资源的政策有潜力改善儿童的发展结果。然而,不同研究预测的影响幅度差异颇大,这可能与研究者所利用的收入产生事件的具体特征有关。

Abstract

Family income is a positive predictor of children's health, human capital, and later-life earnings, but determining the extent to which these associations reflect causal effects is challenging. A recent wave of natural and randomized experiments, together with increased accessibility of large-scale administrative data, are allowing us to gain new perspectives about the importance of families' monetary resources in the U.S. and other high-income countries. This review pulls the emerging literature together to provide deeper insights into what we know, and what we don't know, about the extent to which policies that provide more generous income transfers could make a difference to children's life chances. My reading of the evidence suggests that policies providing financial resources to economically vulnerable families have the potential to improve children's outcomes. The magnitude of predicted impacts varies considerably across studies, however, and may be related to specific features of the income-generating event that researchers' leverage.
在 ireadpaper 查看全部 →