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老问题的新进展:金钱对儿童的发展结果重要吗?

New Advances on an Old Question: Does Money Matter for Children’s Outcomes?
Journal of Economic Literature · 2024 · Marianne Page

中文摘要

家庭收入是儿童健康、人力资本及日后收入的正向预测指标,但要确定这些关联在多大程度上反映因果效应颇具挑战。近期涌现的一系列自然实验和随机实验,加之大规模行政数据可及性的提高,使我们得以从新的视角认识家庭货币资源在美国及其他高收入国家的重要性。本综述汇集这一新兴文献,旨在更深入地揭示:对于提供更慷慨收入转移的政策能在多大程度上改变儿童的人生机会,我们已经知道什么、又尚不知道什么。根据笔者对现有证据的解读,为经济上处于弱势的家庭提供经济资源的政策具有改善儿童发展结果的潜力。然而,各项研究预测的影响幅度差异很大,且可能与研究者所利用的收入产生事件的具体特征有关。

Abstract

Family income is a positive predictor of children's health, human capital, and later-life earnings, but determining the extent to which these associations reflect causal effects is challenging. A recent wave of natural and randomized experiments, together with increased accessibility of large-scale administrative data, are allowing us to gain new perspectives about the importance of families' monetary resources in the U.S. and other high-income countries. This review pulls the emerging literature together to provide deeper insights into what we know, and what we don't know, about the extent to which policies that provide more generous income transfers could make a difference to children's life chances. My reading of the evidence suggests that policies providing financial resources to economically vulnerable families have the potential to improve children's outcomes. The magnitude of predicted impacts varies considerably across studies, however, and may be related to specific features of the income-generating event that researchers' leverage.
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